Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Some Really Inconvenient Truths

California, first to introduce the hoola hoop craze, has now passed its own Kyoto law. This sent me digging for more facts on the subject of global warming. The argument among reasonable people is not whether there has been some global warming, but whether or not this is a natural and cyclical occurrence. I am in the camp of those who say it is a natural occurrence, and I have a lot of difficulty understanding how anyone can look at the data and conclude it is not. The last time I presented data it was challenged by someone saying that the source was funded by “oil and power interests”.

The two charts that follow have been obtained from the US National Center for Atmospheric Research, a non-profit consortium of 100 of the nation’s colleges and universities. The first chart uses a series called GHCN-ERSST, which means that it represents merged land and sea data:

The second graph also shows the same circumstance that we have been saying all along: that the present global warming cycle started long before appreciable levels of manmade fossil fuel use started.
This next chart uses data referred to as HadCRUT2v, which means it is a record of land and sea temperature anomalies:

To those who don’t understand that Greenland was once green and that tropical fruits and vegetables were once grown in England (therefore we have been through at least one cooling cycle (which scientists call 'the little ice age') after the previous warming cycle ended), we ask them to consider the implications of these facts and these data on the famous “hockey stick” computer model on which the entire rationale of global warming has been based.

In addition, Patrick J. Michaels points out some other inconvenient truths in the American Spectator of 9/13/06 (Excerpts):

“Let's be really rosy, and say that California does lead the nation, and Congress passes a similar law. Further, let's say that California leads the world, and every nation that has to reduce emissions under the Kyoto Protocol -- quotas that virtually no one has met -- indeed adopts and meets the California mandates. According to scientists from the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research, the amount of global warming the law would prevent by 2060 is .05 degrees Celsius. That's right, one-twentieth of a degree.

That's a reasonable estimate, because Kyoto is predicted to prevent .07 degrees of warming along this timeframe, and California's law doesn't reduce emissions quite as much as Kyoto. But in any case, there's no network of global thermometers or satellites that will ever be able to detect such a change, because global surface temperature fluctuates about .15 degrees Celsius from year to year….”

In addition, something else has been happening that might explain the very slow hurricane season so far – something our friend, Mason Wilson, pointed out recently: the oceans are cooling.

“Further, the oceans just haven't been cooperating recently. An upcoming paper by John Lyman in Geophysical Research Letters has the scientific cheerleaders for Gore's apocalypse worried. It shows, inexplicably, that in the last two years the world's oceans lost 20% of the heat they had gained in the last half century.”
American Spectator

And finally:
By Kate Martin
The Daily Reporter-Herald, 9/19/06

"Global warming is happening, but humans are not the cause, one of the nation’s top experts on hurricanes said Monday morning.

Bill Gray, who has studied tropical meteorology for more than 40 years, spoke at the Larimer County Republican Club Breakfast about global warming and whether humans are to blame. About 50 people were at the talk.

Gray, who is a professor at Colorado State University, said human-induced global warming is a fear perpetuated by the media and scientists who are trying to get federal grants." Kate Martin

Despite the threat to their professional lives from the global warming advocates, more than 16,000 recognized scientists have publicly dismissed the concept of man-made global warming. Even so, and against the evidence, I fear that junk science may win out, as it has in California. This is clearly a political issue now, and not one based on the facts as we know them.

Extreme environmentalists sentenced millions to death by banning DDT against all the evidence, they doomed us to dependence on oil-rich Arabs and Iranians by shutting down nuclear power and domestic drilling, lets not let them destroy our way of life with Kyoto-like idiocies. Fight back.

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