Friday, January 18, 2013

Are We Republicans in Deep Doodoo?

Establishment Republicans have a problem with the Party’s base. The Republican base wants meaningful cuts in spending and government, especially entitlements.  That can't happen now.

Neither side fully understands the extent of the disaster the housing crash caused, nor the mood of the country because of it. In my area, restaurants are still going out of business left and right, there is almost no private construction activity and the housing market is still almost non-existent.

The worse thing that can happen to the Republican Party is to overreach on the debt limit negotiations and be blamed for a government shutdown. Republicans simply do not have the power to effect major policy changes at this time. GOP leaders must convince the base to back off and bide their time.

Republican Establishment Declares War on GOP Voters

A Commentary By Scott Rasmussen

Friday, January 11, 2013 Excerpt

“Official Washington hailed the deal to avoid the so-called fiscal cliff as a significant bipartisan accomplishment. However, voters around the country viewed the deal in very partisan terms: Seven out of 10 Democrats approved of it, while seven out of 10 Republicans disapproved.

Just a few days after reaching that agreement, an inside-the-Beltway publication reported another area of bipartisan agreement. Politico explained that while Washington Democrats have always viewed GOP voters as a problem, Washington Republicans "in many a post-election soul-searching session" have come to agree. More precisely, the article said the party's Election 2012 failures have "brought forth one principal conclusion from establishment Republicans: They have a primary problem."

As seen from the halls of power, the problem is that Republican voters think it's OK to replace incumbent senators and congressman who don't represent the views of their constituents. In 2012, for example, Republican voters in Indiana dumped longtime Sen. Richard Lugar in a primary battle.

This infuriated establishment Republicans for two reasons. First, because they liked Lugar and the way he worked. Second, because the replacement candidate was flawed and allowed Democrats to win what should have been a safe Republican seat.” Rasmussen
Charles Krauthammer, who no-one would call a RINO or worse, lays out in his column the only sensible strategy for the GOP to follow so that we have a reasonable chance of winning in 2014 and in 2016. We cannot reform entitlement spending with Obama and a Democrat Senate solidly against it.
A new strategy for the GOP

By Charles Krauthammer, January 17, 2013 Wash. Post

It has become conventional wisdom that Republicans are suffering an internal split that President Obama is successfully exploiting to neuter the Republican House. It is not true, however, that the Republican split is philosophical and fundamental. And that a hopelessly divided GOP is therefore headed for decline, perhaps irrelevance.

In fact, the split is tactical, not philosophical; short-term, not fundamental. And therefore quite solvable.

How do we know? Simple thought experiment: Imagine that we had a Republican president. Would the party be deeply divided over policy, at war with itself in Congress? Not at all. It would be rallying around something like the Paul Ryan budget that twice passed the House with near 100 percent GOP unanimity.

In reality, Republicans have a broad consensus on what they believe, where they want to go and the program to get them there. But they don’t have the power. What divides Republicans today is a straightforward tactical question: Can you govern from one house of Congress? Should you even try?

Can you shrink government, restrain spending, bring a modicum of fiscal sanity to the country when the president and a blocking Senate have no intention of doing so?

One faction feels committed to try. It wishes to carry out its small-government electoral promises and will cast no vote inconsistent with that philosophy. These are the House Republicans who voted no on the “fiscal cliff” deal because it raised taxes without touching spending. Indeed, it increased spending with its crazy-quilt crony-capitalist tax ”credits” — for wind power and other indulgences.

They were willing to risk the fiscal cliff. Today they are willing to risk a breach of the debt ceiling and even a government shutdown rather than collaborate with Obama’s tax-and-spend second-term agenda.

The other view is that you cannot govern from the House. The reason Ryan and John Boehner finally voted yes on the lousy fiscal-cliff deal is that by then there was nowhere else to go. Republicans could not afford to bear the blame (however unfair) for a $4.5 trillion across-the-board tax hike and a Pentagon hollowed out by sequester.

The party establishment is coming around to the view that if you try to govern from one house — e.g., force spending cuts with cliffhanging brinkmanship — you lose. You not only don’t get the cuts. You get the blame for rattled markets and economic uncertainty. You get humiliated by having to cave in the end. And you get opinion polls ranking you below head lice and colonoscopies in popularity.

There is history here. The Gingrich Revolution ran aground when it tried to govern from Congress, losing badly to President Clinton over government shutdowns. Nor did the modern insurgents do any better in the 2011 debt-ceiling and 2012 fiscal-cliff showdowns with Obama.

Obama’s postelection arrogance and intransigence can put you in a fighting mood. I sympathize. But I’m tending toward the realist view: Don’t force the issue when you don’t have the power.

The debt-ceiling deadline is coming up. You can demand commensurate spending cuts, the usual, reasonable Republican offer. But you won’t get them. Obama will hold out. And, at the eleventh hour, you will have to give in as you get universally blamed for market gyrations and threatened credit downgrades.

The more prudent course would be to find some offer that cannot be refused, a short-term trade-off utterly unassailable and straightforward. For example, offer to extend the debt ceiling through, say, May 1, in exchange for the Senate delivering a budget by that date — after four years of lawlessly refusing to produce one.

Not much. But it would (a) highlight the Democrats’ fiscal recklessness, (b) force Senate Democrats to make public their fiscal choices and (c) keep the debt ceiling alive as an ongoing pressure point for future incremental demands.

Republicans should develop a list of such conditions — some symbolic, some substantive — in return for sequential, short-term raising of the debt ceiling. But the key is: Go small and simple. Forget about forcing tax reform or entitlement cuts or anything major. If Obama wants to recklessly expand government, well, as he says, he won the election.

Republicans should simply block what they can. Further tax hikes, for example. The general rule is: From a single house of Congress you can resist but you cannot impose.

Aren’t you failing the country, say the insurgents? Answer: The country chose Obama. He gets four years.

Want to save the Republic? Win the next election. Don’t immolate yourself trying to save liberalism from itself. If your conservative philosophy is indeed right, winning will come. As Margaret Thatcher said serenely of the Labor Party socialists she later overthrew: “They always run out of other people’s money.”

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At 2:51 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was stated on this forum that those
opposed to Obama’s ways should just
wait for a better opportunity when they
have more arrows in their quiver.

This inaction just plays into Marxist
strategies. Win domination through
taking little steps one at a time.

This approach is often advocated by
Northeast U. S. citizens because they
abhor confrontation and have a
track record of advocating compromise
to avoid confrontation.

This way of dealing with Marxist allows
Marxism to win one small step at a time.

Ask the question, when was the last time
Marxist compromised toward allowing
More individual and property rights?
When was the last time they
compromised toward the principles
set forth in the U. S. Constitution?

The way of thinking to allow Obama not
to face confrontation at every step gives
him victory in small steps. He has openly
stated that this is o.k. so as to achieve
his ultimate goals.

Many years ago, before Russ maintained
this site there was a Neo Conservative,
Joe Sobran, who describe Marxism thusly:

“There has never been a humane
communist [read Marxist] regime.
Marxism is inherently totalitarian. It
recognizes no moral limits on the state.
It’s the most convenient ideology for
aspiring tyrants; it also retains its appeal
for intellectuals, who have proved equally
skillful at rationalizing abuses of power
and at exculpating themselves.”

Understand those intellectuals who call
themselves ‘moderates’, are those
intellectuals Joe Sobran was referring to.

I submit we must confront evil each and
every time we face it. Courage, Courage,
always Courage.

At 5:29 AM, Blogger RussWilcox said...

Anonymous, It is obvious you throw the word, 'Marxist' at anyone who disagrees with you on any subject. i will not publish any more of your rants that call me a Marxist.

At 11:21 PM, Anonymous Joe said...

Russ, I don't think he's calling you a Marxist. He's referring to Obama as a Marxist as I have done in the past many times. I feel his pain. In a way he's right. You can't reason with an arrogant, stubborn president who's only motto now is, "It's my way or the highway." He's in there again for another four miserable years unless he screws up so bad that he can't cover his tracks. So far, he's managed to do just that, but we have to keep up the fight and not give him an inch. He's as cunning as a Willey Fox and he has all kinds of tricks up his sleeve.

I was talking to the guy who fills my home oil tank the other day. He seemed like a knowledgeable guy but boy was he ignorant about what is going on in our government today. I could tell just by talking to him that he hates Republicans. He blames the GOP for the debt we've accumulated. He told me that it was all Bush's fault. Now where have we heard that before? Five will get you ten that he never watches Fox News. I told him, "I hate Obama. I despise the guy" and do you know what he said?" "I know, I didn't care much for him either, I voted for Hillary Clinton."
I thought to myself, "My God, what's the sense in trying to talk any sense into this guy?"

I don't know but maybe I will run into someone who I can get through to but then on the other hand, maybe I won't. When these fools start losing their private health care or their jobs, maybe they'll finally sit up and take notice.

While talking to this guy he told me that his wife has a great job, makes more money that he does and she's got him covered under her health care plan. I thought to myself, "boy I hope this guy never kills that golden goose." :)

You talked about how bad it is in Florida. My cousin Jim and his wife Cathy are down in Stewart FL right now. I had previously sent him an email that was forwarded to me by a friend entitled, "Perspective Of A Rabbi That Every Thinking Person Should Read" I sent this out to you, I'm pretty sure.
At any rate, Jim wrote back to me and this is what he wrote:

I am spending two months in Stuart Florida. When we go to the market , it seems like everybody is on some kind of food program,nobody pays for their groceries. The price of food in this state is expensive. Milk is 1.00 more, chicken is 1.00 more bread is 1.50 more than home. I wish we had a Market Basket. Most people care less about the prices because they get free groceries.
(end quote)
Maybe this is what it's going to take Russ. Everything will come to a head when the money is no more. Their will be fighting in the streets like in Greece. With that said, we can't ever give in. We must continue the fight.

At 3:43 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was stated, "Establishment Republicans have a problem with the Party’s base. The Republican base wants meaningful cuts in spending and government, especially entitlements. That can't happen now."

Obviously the author of the comment never read the biographies of Orville and Wilbur...

It just was not meant for men to fly.

Maybe a review about biblical Jericho is in order?

Meaningful cuts in expenditures will not occur unless there is effort to do so. Waiting is not the best answer.

At 9:24 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It seems right now that our intent is to EXPAND benefits and simply not pay for them. How long can that last, we'll see. Obama has all the power in the world because he promises everything to everybody and doesn't worry about paying the bill. The only folks not included in everybody is the rich. They get nothing except more tax increases.
On the other hand, republicans currently have NO power and are losing the little they have. No question we have alienated most folks. Republicans are already blamed for both the debt issues and the lack of progress dealing with them. We are in a deep hole and haven't even stopped digging yet. (both republicans and the country)


At 2:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Steve said, "No question we have alienated most folks. Republicans are already blamed for both the debt issues and the lack of progress dealing with them."

Understand the problem is the media which follows the Obama agenda, and anything and all things against Obama will be attacked.

Only courage to constantly fight will allow survival.

Basic technique used in propaganda. Tell a lie often and eventually it will be believed.

“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
Joseph Goebbels

The media uses this technique daily. Just listen to main stream commentators repeating the same words over and over and over ...

The fight must be continued daily in the face of this diatribe, and not submitting.

If you wait for the next election, there may be none!

At 3:11 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was said, "Charles Krauthammer, who no-one would call a RINO or worse, lays out in his column the only sensible strategy for the GOP to follow..."

Krauthammer offers good commentary. However, understand he is one of the inside the beltway crowd.

Krauthammer is a psychiatrist and commentator. He is neither an economist nor a business person nor a blue collar worker. His opinions are not always the way.

Krathammer sees the world from a wheel chair. He has never recieved live fire from an enemy. He did not create a business. He never worked at a job getting his knuckles busted.

Krathammer is an insider and not a fiscal conservative. All insiders must be questioned, not just accepted as preaching the Gospel as it was intended.

At 9:16 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't disagree that the media is in bed with Obama, nor do I disagree that they repeat the lies to "make" them true. Our problem however is bigger than that. A large potion of the republican problem is of our own doing, and the media does not need to lie because it's true.



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